Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastThe deal is actually signed (still resolves YES even if modifications are made to the deal) 100%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
15
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleMay 1, 25, 12:21 AM UTCJan 1, 28, 1:06 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
The US and Ukraine recently announced a new minerals deal but have not revealed the full details.
- What will the deal entail? Resolution will based on the spirit of the answers, and if there is significant controversy we will try to clarify the resolution criteria or resolve N/A. I will not trade on highly subjective resolution criteria.
- All users are free to add new answers, but I reserve the right to remove any answers I think are counter to the purpose of the market.
- Epistemic standards: reporting from well-established journalists and news publications, official financial disclosures from the fund if it is established, third-party sources
- If the deal is not actually signed, all options resolve NO.
