Current community forecast
3.75% – 4.00% 48.7%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+9.0 pts
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleApr 10, 26, 1:52 PM UTCDec 16, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 3.875% at the FOMC meeting ending October 28, 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 3.875% at the FOMC meeting ending December 9, 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 4.125% at the FOMC meeting ending December 9, 2026?
ForecastExWill October 2026 U.S. PPI final demand rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Oct. 28, 2026 FOMC meeting?
Manifold MarketsWill August 2026 U.S. PPI final demand rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsRules
Market Description: This market predicts the upper bound of the Federal Funds Target Rate following the Federal Reserve's final FOMC meeting in December 2026.
- Resolution Criteria:
- The market will resolve based on the official press release from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
- If the Fed announces a range (e.g., 3.50% - 3.75%), the market will resolve to the option containing that specific range.
- In the event of an unscheduled emergency meeting late in December 2026, the rate set at that meeting will take precedence for resolution.
Open markets
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt43.1%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $40.1M
- 24h Vol
- $3M
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 more outcomes
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt50%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt44.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 more outcomes
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 2027+2.0pt75%
- Total Vol
- $3.9M
- 24h Vol
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Total Vol
- $1.2M
- 24h Vol
- $47.9K
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Related Cryptos
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What will be the Federal Target Rate range after the final FOMC meeting of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices 3.75% – 4.00% at 49% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does What will be the Federal Target Rate range after the final FOMC meeting of 2026? resolve?
- What will be the Federal Target Rate range after the final FOMC meeting of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 16, 2026.
- How is What will be the Federal Target Rate range after the final FOMC meeting of 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Market Description: This market predicts the upper bound of the Federal Funds Target Rate following the Federal Reserve's final FOMC meeting in December 2026.