Will the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 3.125% at the FOMC meeting ending October 28, 2026?
FedQuarterly1moForecastExLimited verified dataCurrent implied probabilityYes 97%
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$311
Low liquidityMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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ForecastExRules
US Fed Funds Target Rate October 29 2026.
- Will the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 3.125% at the FOMC meeting ending October 28, 2026? Price reflects the latest available ForecastEx exchange evidence.
Open markets
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt43.1%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $40.1M
- 24h Vol
- $3M
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 more outcomes
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt50%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt44.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 more outcomes
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 2027+2.0pt75%
- Total Vol
- $3.9M
- 24h Vol
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Total Vol
- $1.2M
- 24h Vol
- $47.9K
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 3.125% at the FOMC meeting ending October 28, 2026??
- ForecastEx prices Yes at 97% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 3.125% at the FOMC meeting ending October 28, 2026? resolve?
- Will the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 3.125% at the FOMC meeting ending October 28, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on October 28, 2026.
- How is Will the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 3.125% at the FOMC meeting ending October 28, 2026? settled?
- ForecastEx settles this market as follows: US Fed Funds Target Rate October 29 2026.