Current community forecast
1.55 - 1.6 27.2%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
8
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleAug 27, 25, 3:28 AM UTCMar 1, 31, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US fertility rate in 2030 >= 1.7 if (and only if) Taylor Swift announces a pregnancy by 2029?
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Manifold MarketsRules
Lower bounds inclusive, upper bounds exclusive.
- Update 2025-11-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve based on data for the year 2030 (not whatever data is available in March 2030).
- The close date may be extended if OWID has not yet published 2030 data by the original close date.
- Update 2025-11-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If OWID is not available to publish 2030 data, the market will resolve by attempting to replicate OWID's sources and methodology as closely as possible.
