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Who will offer the most canonical compute price index at the end of 2026?

Inflation AI5mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Data quality warningStale data

Data as of Jul 10, 2026, 9:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2

Current community forecast

Ornn 23.8%-1.8%

Leader of 8 outcomes

Forecasters

8

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 15 days ago

Stale

Apr 9, 26, 5:39 AMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Ornn24%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

I will resolve based on my judgment of whichever firm / organization is offering the single largest compute price index (e.g H100 hourly rental prices) in terms of trading volume or hedging activity, primarily, or industry/media buzz, secondarily (if there is a tie of if real trading/hedging volumes are minimal).

Volume trend

$200

Jul 92d of dataJul 10

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Rules

I will resolve based on my judgment of whichever firm / organization is offering the single largest compute price index (e.g H100 hourly rental prices) in terms of trading volume or hedging activity, primarily, or industry/media buzz, secondarily (if there is a tie of if real trading/hedging volumes are minimal).