What are the current odds for UK Ban Traditional Petrol Cars by 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 83.4% as of October 30, 2026.

When does UK Ban Traditional Petrol Cars by 2030? resolve?

UK Ban Traditional Petrol Cars by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2029.

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The UK is currently set to ban sales of new, non-hybrid petrol cars by 2030.

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

No 83.4%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 11 minutes ago

Feb 23, 26, 10:34 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

The UK is currently set to ban sales of new, non-hybrid petrol cars by 2030.

Will this ban be implemented as currently planned?
Resolution Criteria
The UK Labour government has officially confirmed the 2030 ban on new petrol and diesel car sales, with hybrids allowed until 2035.
This market resolves YES if the ban on sales of new non-hybrid petrol and diesel cars takes effect as scheduled on January 1, 2030.
It resolves NO if the deadline is delayed, cancelled, or substantially modified before implementation.