Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 88.7%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 13, 23, 5:36 AM UTCJan 2, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
The USA loses an aircraft carrier through 2030
Manifold MarketsThe USA loses an aircraft carrier through 2026
Manifold MarketsWill China commission a fourth conventional aircraft carrier before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill China sink a US aircraft carrier before 2030?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRules
Due to any enemy action, it has to sink, be destroyed or inoperable.
- Hacking type attacks count if the ship is abandoned and can't be piloted.
