Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastKlobuchar, 2+ pts 92%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+42.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Oct 29, 26, 7:04 AM UTCNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/midterm-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-mngovd
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Kalshi's rules: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Minnesota by 14 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Minnesota Governor margin of victory · Klobuchar, 2+ pts 94%
