Massachusetts Governor margin of victory
3.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 5:42 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastHealey, 14+ pts 87%-3.0ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+37.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleOct 18, 26, 7:11 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/midterm-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-magovd
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Kalshi's rules: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Massachusetts by X percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Massachusetts Governor margin of victory · Healey, 14+ pts 76%