Jon Ossoff and Roy Cooper combined margin of victory of 25% or more?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection10dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 61%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Oct 22, 26, 11:05 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the sum of Jon Ossoff's margin of victory in the 2026 Georgia U.S. Senate election and Roy Cooper's margin of victory in the 2026 North Carolina U.S. Senate election is greater than or equal to 25.0 percentage points (25.0%), according to official certified election returns.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Calculation:
- Ossoff Margin = (Jon Ossoff % of total votes) − (Republican opponent % of total votes)
- Cooper Margin = (Roy Cooper % of total votes) − (Republican opponent % of total votes)
