Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 67%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleApr 7, 25, 8:59 PM UTCJan 15, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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MyriadRules
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the current Iranian regime remains in power throughout Donald Trump's presidency and is still in power when Trump leaves office.
- It resolves to NO if the regime collapses, is overthrown, or fundamentally transforms into a different system of government during Trump's term.
- Happy to clarify edge cases.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Iranian Regime survives Trump Administration??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 67% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Iranian Regime survives Trump Administration? resolve?
- Iranian Regime survives Trump Administration? is scheduled to resolve on January 15, 2029.
- How is Iranian Regime survives Trump Administration? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution Criteria