Will the Iranian regime survive the date it predicted for Israel's destruction?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the Iranian regime survive the date it predicted for Israel's destruction??

Manifold Markets prices No at 60% as of October 29, 2026.

When does Will the Iranian regime survive the date it predicted for Israel's destruction? resolve?

Will the Iranian regime survive the date it predicted for Israel's destruction? is scheduled to resolve on September 9, 2040.

How is Will the Iranian regime survive the date it predicted for Israel's destruction? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The Iranian regime has a big countdown clock to Israel's destruction, claiming it will be destroyed by September 9 2040.

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POLYMARKET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 28+0.8pt100%
• October 31+1.3pt97%
• November 295%

+19 more outcomes

Total Vol

$29.1M

24h Vol

$901.6K

KALSHI

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

• No one-2.0pt54.5%
• Benjamin Netanyahu-1.0pt24.5%
• Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt

POLYMARKET

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

• March 31+2.5pt63%
• December 31+5.2pt40%
• November 30+8.0pt28%

+22 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

• No+0.2pt100%
• Yes-0.2pt0%

Total Vol

$4M

24h Vol

$467.2K

POLYMARKET

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 27+0.1pt100%
• October 2999%
• October 3098%

+39 more outcomes

KALSHI

US-Iran nuclear deal?

• Before Jan 20, 2029-5.0pt39.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2028+6.0pt31%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt

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• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
• Al Nassr vs Al-Kholood