Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastOther 54%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
14
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleMar 6, 22, 6:15 PM UTCJan 1, 00, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will New York City government have a 1975 style financial crisis, threat of bankruptcy, before the end of 2028?
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KalshiWill the S&P 500 close above 7883.34 on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
From https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7467/next-great-financial-crisis-in-the-us/
- Acceptable answers: full year, in format YYYY, i.e. "2022"
- Resolves to the year corresponding to the resolution made on the above Metaculus question. i.e. if the question resolves to "Mar 24, 2028", this market resolves to "2028".
