Will New York City government have a 1975 style financial crisis, threat of bankruptcy, before the end of 2028?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will New York City government have a 1975 style financial crisis, threat of bankruptcy, before the end of 2028??

Manifold Markets prices No at 50.9% as of October 27, 2026.

When does Will New York City government have a 1975 style financial crisis, threat of bankruptcy, before the end of 2028? resolve?

Will New York City government have a 1975 style financial crisis, threat of bankruptcy, before the end of 2028? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2029.

How is Will New York City government have a 1975 style financial crisis, threat of bankruptcy, before the end of 2028? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Update 2025-07-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has pointed to a podcast episode about the 1975 NYC financial crisis as a reference for what constitutes a "1975 style" event.

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KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202796.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202795%
• Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt93%

+9 more outcomes

Total Vol

$4.1M

24h Vol

$124.8K

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+1.8pt95%
• December 15,+1.0pt93%
• November 30,-0.5pt88%

+15 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+3.0pt32.4%
• $2.0–$2.25T+2.6pt23.5%
• $1.5–$1.75T-0.1pt16.7%

+7 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?

• $95B to $105B-8.7pt24%
• $105B to $115B-2.5pt21.1%
• $85B to $95B-4.0pt20.2%

+6 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

• ↑$1.5T-0.2pt96%
• ↑$1.75T+1.5pt85%
• ↑$2.0T+3.5pt74%

+11 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

• <$1T-5.1pt24%
• $1.75T–$2.0T+4.0pt20%
• $1.5T–$1.75T-0.3pt18%

+5 more outcomes

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