In the 2028 presidential election will at least one state assign its electoral votes based on the national popular vote?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 84.7%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 23, 26, 8:45 PM UTCDec 18, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" If at least one state adopts a law prior to the ascertainment of electors for the 2028 presidential election that says that the electors will be chosen based on the national popular vote, and the state follows that law when appointing its electors.
- If that does not happen, this market will resolve to "No".
- Should there be a dispute, the rules provided will control over the answer to the question itself.
- While the question is intended to provide an easy way for people to bet on their beliefs, it is not the end-all, be-all, and all traders should look at the rules.
- Please don't hesitate to ask clarifying questions in the comments.
- In the unlikely event of significant ambiguity regarding whether the resolution criteria have been met.
