What are the current odds for If Trump wins the 2024 election, will a human walk on the Moon by 2030??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 59.9% as of October 29, 2026.

If Trump wins the 2024 election, will a human walk on the Moon by 2030?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Data quality warningStale data

Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 2:32 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4

Current community forecast

Yes 59.9%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated yesterday

Stale

Aug 28, 24, 9:19 AM UTCJan 1, 31, 7:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.