If Donald Trump is elected president in 2024, what will the average yearly inflation be between Jan 2025 and Jan 2029?
InflationOne-OffPoliticsUS Politics2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast[2%, 3%) 67.3%Leader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
13
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleApr 23, 22, 6:47 PM UTCMar 1, 29, 12:00 AM UTC
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FutuurRules
This resolves N/A if Donald Trump is not elected president in 2024.
- Otherwise, this question will resolve based on CPI-U data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics data as of March 1st 2029.
- The resolution will be the change of CPI-U from Janurary 2025 to January 2029, to the power of 1/4 to get a yearly average.
- The source for the data will be https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPIAUCSL, or another source if that goes down.
- A similar question for Trump's 2017-2021 term would resolve at 1.85% over the four years, at 1.26% for Obama's 2013-2017 term, and at 2.25% for Obama's 2009-2013 term.
