How many traders will this market get before next nuclear explosion?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for How many traders will this market get before next nuclear explosion??

Manifold Markets prices [20,40) at 15.2% as of October 25, 2026.

When does How many traders will this market get before next nuclear explosion? resolve?

How many traders will this market get before next nuclear explosion? is scheduled to resolve on August 22, 2030.

How is How many traders will this market get before next nuclear explosion? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: War usage, accidents, tests, terraforming, thermonuclear explosions - all count as long as the output is greater than 10kilotons TNT.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 24-0.1pt99%
• October 28+2.0pt92%
• October 3183%

+17 more outcomes

Total Vol

$26.7M

24h Vol

$1.6M

POLYMARKET

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 24+0.2pt100%
• October 27+3.9pt96%
• October 31+2.0pt89%

+28 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

• No+0.4pt98%
• Yes-0.4pt2%

Total Vol

$45M

24h Vol

$240.3K

POLYMARKET

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

• No+1.0pt81.2%
• Yes-1.0pt18.8%

Total Vol

$75.5M

24h Vol

$148.2K

POLYMARKET

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

• March 31-1.5pt57%
• December 3137%
• November 30+0.5pt23%

+20 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

• No88.1%
• Yes11.9%

Total Vol

$15.6M

24h Vol

$123.3K

• US-Yemen ceasefire continues through which date?
• NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
• Will Russia target Kyiv on?
• Iran full airspace closure by which date?
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
• Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
• US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?