How many electoral votes will the Democratic presidential candidate win in 2028? [overlapping ranges]

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for How many electoral votes will the Democratic presidential candidate win in 2028? [overlapping ranges]?

Manifold Markets prices 250-325 at 80.4% as of October 21, 2026.

When does How many electoral votes will the Democratic presidential candidate win in 2028? [overlapping ranges] resolve?

How many electoral votes will the Democratic presidential candidate win in 2028? [overlapping ranges] is scheduled to resolve on December 23, 2028.

How is How many electoral votes will the Democratic presidential candidate win in 2028? [overlapping ranges] settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution will be based on the actual Electoral College votes cast, not pledged electors, meaning unfaithful electors could impact the final count.

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POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep+1.0pt62.8%
• R Senate, D27.4%
• Republicans Sweep8.8%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$27.5M

24h Vol

$1.9M

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep+1.0pt64.5%
• D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt26.5%
• Republicans sweep

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party+0.6pt90.8%
• Republican Party-0.5pt9.4%

Total Vol

$63M

24h Vol

$1.6M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico+1.0pt63.5%
• Ken Paxton-2.0pt36.5%

Total Vol

$32.7M

24h Vol

$1.4M

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election

• Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt80%
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt20%

+17 more outcomes

Total Vol

$190.1M

24h Vol

$1.3M

POLYMARKET

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

• Gadi Eizenkot+1.6pt54.2%
• Benjamin Netanyahu-2.0pt29.2%
• Naftali Bennett13.5%

+16 more outcomes

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