Current community forecast
Will greenhouse-gas emissions decrease? [Lower annual territorial emissions, excluding land use and forestry, Umweltbundesamt] 69%+19.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+19.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleSep 20, 26, 7:34 AM UTCDec 31, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
This market forecasts changes in Germany following the AfD’s entry into federal government.
- Each answer resolves independently.
- “Enters government” means an AfD Bundeskanzler and AFD-lead coalition.
- Let Y be the calendar year in which this first happens after this market’s preparation.
- We compare annual figures for Y−1, the last calendar year before entry, with Y+3, the third full calendar year after entry.
- Each answer resolves YES if its stated change occurs, and NO otherwise.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Germany after the AfD enters federal government: objective measures?
- Manifold Markets prices Will greenhouse-gas emissions decrease? [Lower annual territorial emissions, excluding land use and forestry, Umweltbundesamt] at 69% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Germany after the AfD enters federal government: objective measures resolve?
- Germany after the AfD enters federal government: objective measures is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2030.
- How is Germany after the AfD enters federal government: objective measures settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market forecasts changes in Germany following the AfD’s entry into federal government.