GDP in 2028 if a republican gets elected 2024? [Ṁ500 subsidized]

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for GDP in 2028 if a republican gets elected 2024? [Ṁ500 subsidized]?

Manifold Markets prices 34 at 16.8% as of October 28, 2026.

When does GDP in 2028 if a republican gets elected 2024? [Ṁ500 subsidized] resolve?

GDP in 2028 if a republican gets elected 2024? [Ṁ500 subsidized] is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2029.

How is GDP in 2028 if a republican gets elected 2024? [Ṁ500 subsidized] settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: In 2024 a republican, like Donald Trump, might be elected (again) and should then be president until 2028, the next election.

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KALSHI

Core CPI in October

• Above 0.0%-1.0pt94.5%
• Above 0.1%+1.0pt75.5%
• Above 0.2%44.5%

+8 more outcomes

Total Vol

$745.1K

24h Vol

$26.1K

KALSHI

US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?

• Above 1.0%98%
• Above 0.0%99%
• Above 0.5%99.5%

KALSHI

CPI in October

• Above -0.1%98.5%
• Above 0.0%99%
• Above 0.1%89.5%

KALSHI

Unemployment in October

• Above 3.7%99%
• Above 3.8%98.5%
• Above 3.9%98%

KALSHI

Recession in 2027?

• No80%
• Yes-1.0pt20%

Total Vol

$765.7K

24h Vol

$8.4K

POLYMARKET

US recession by end of 2026?

• No+0.5pt93%
• Yes-0.5pt7%

Total Vol

$2.4M

24h Vol

$5.6K

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