KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 1:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Above -0.4% 0%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
17.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 8, 26, 1:15 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 10:29 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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0%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026?
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KalshiRules
If the South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q3 2026 is above -0.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- If the South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q3 2026 is above -0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q3 2026 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q3 2026 is above 0.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $104.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1.7M
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $417K
- 24h Vol
- $41.5K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $638K
- 24h Vol
- $34K
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP-2.0pt58%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $12.5K
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $20.6K
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-2.0pt22%
- Total Vol
- $360.8K
- 24h Vol
- $7.6K
- Recession this year?
- CPI in September
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
- Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q3 2026?
- Kalshi prices Above -0.4% at 0% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q3 2026 resolve?
- South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q3 2026 is scheduled to resolve on December 1, 2026.
- How is South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q3 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q3 2026 is above -0.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.