First US state to declare independence?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for First US state to declare independence??

Manifold Markets prices California at 31.8% as of October 26, 2026.

When does First US state to declare independence? resolve?

First US state to declare independence? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2099.

How is First US state to declare independence? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This will resolve to the first* state, which government presents documented act of secession from the United States of America.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

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