Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 86.1%
Forecasters
26
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 5, 26, 8:11 PM UTCNov 2, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point before the polls close in Michigan for the U.S. midterm general election (8:00 PM EST on November 3, 2026), Dr. Abdul El-Sayed or his official campaign issues an explicit public statement that condemns, disavows, or formally distances his campaign from Twitch streamer Hasan Piker.
- For a YES resolution, the statement must meet the following criteria:
- Must be before the polls close in Michigan for the U.S. midterm general election (8:00 PM EST on November 3, 2026)
- Must be published by a credible news organization, via an official campaign press release, or through El-Sayed’s official verified social media channels.
- Must feature El-Sayed (or his campaign) explicitly condemning, or disavowing Piker, or explicitly stating regret or an apology for holding joint campaign events with him.