Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 84.5%
Forecasters
22
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleAug 5, 26, 8:11 PM UTCNov 2, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point before the polls close in Michigan for the U.S. midterm general election (8:00 PM EST on November 3, 2026), Dr. Abdul El-Sayed or his official campaign issues an explicit public statement that condemns, disavows, or formally distances his campaign from Twitch streamer Hasan Piker.
- For a YES resolution, the statement must meet the following criteria:
- Must be before the polls close in Michigan for the U.S. midterm general election (8:00 PM EST on November 3, 2026)
- Must be published by a credible news organization, via an official campaign press release, or through El-Sayed’s official verified social media channels.
- Must feature El-Sayed (or his campaign) explicitly condemning, or disavowing Piker, or explicitly stating regret or an apology for holding joint campaign events with him.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for El-Sayed comdemn or disavow Hasan Piker before midterms??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 85% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does El-Sayed comdemn or disavow Hasan Piker before midterms? resolve?
- El-Sayed comdemn or disavow Hasan Piker before midterms? is scheduled to resolve on November 2, 2026.
- How is El-Sayed comdemn or disavow Hasan Piker before midterms? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria