Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 62.6%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
May 24, 26, 9:15 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 11:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Political streamer and influencer Hasan Piker was subpoenaed by federal authorities on May 23, 2026, as part of a broader investigation into potential U.S. sanctions violations related to Cuba.
- The subpoenas were served by the Treasury Department's Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) and are part of a wider investigation into whether U.S. organizations and leaders violated U.S. laws and sanctions in connection with Cuba's communist regime.
- Piker and CodePink co-founder Medea Benjamin traveled to Cuba in March as part of the "Nuestra América Convoy," and investigators are examining whether that trip involved the financing, coordination, or delivery of goods to Cuba, as well as potential contacts with Cuban government personnel.
- The subpoenas sought financial, travel, and communications records tied to the trip, which included up to 40 U.S. citizens.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Hasan Piker is arrested by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction prior to 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027.