Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?
One-OffUS PoliticsElectionTechSpacePolitics22dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 92.5%
Forecasters
38
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJun 9, 25, 8:22 PM UTCSep 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by September 30, 2026, Elon Musk publicly endorses any candidate participating in a Democratic primary election during that year.
- An endorsement is defined as a public statement of support for a specific candidate, made through any of Musk's official communication channels, including but not limited to his social media accounts, public speeches, or official press releases.
- The endorsement must be verifiable through reputable news sources or Musk's official communications.
- If no such endorsement is made by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."
- Elon Musk, the CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, has a history of political involvement that spans various affiliations.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 93% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026? resolve?
- Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 30, 2026.
- How is Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria