Did Israel execute unarmed Gazans on December 19th for no good reason?
GeopoliticsOne-OffMiddle East3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 50.8%
Forecasters
77
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleDec 24, 23, 8:35 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
https://reliefweb.int/report/occupied-palestinian-territory/un-human-rights-office-opt-unlawful-killings-gaza-city
- Resolves based on whether this turns out to be generally true.
- A minor detail wrong like it being 10 men instead of 11 won't prevent this from resolving YES.
- The goal is to determine whether this is more like a war crime or more like a normal combat operation.
- (Or didn't happen at all.)
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Did Israel execute unarmed Gazans on December 19th for no good reason??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 51% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Did Israel execute unarmed Gazans on December 19th for no good reason? resolve?
- Did Israel execute unarmed Gazans on December 19th for no good reason? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Did Israel execute unarmed Gazans on December 19th for no good reason? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://reliefweb.int/report/occupied-palestinian-territory/un-human-rights-office-opt-unlawful-killings-gaza-city