Depending on whether Trump wins the election, will Bezos become even richer by 2029?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast
Trump wins, Bezos becomes richer 87.3%Leader of 4 outcomes
Trump wins, Bezos becomes richer 87.3%Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+10.5 pts
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleOct 29, 24, 11:49 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
For simplicity, Trump "loses" if he does not win the election and Bezos will be considered "richer" if Forbes estimates his net worth to be higher than $208.4 billion at any point during 2028; otherwise, he will be considered "poorer." This covers all possible outcomes, including unlikely ones.
- If Forbes is not in business anymore by 2028, an alternative credible estimate will be used.
- I will not bet in this market.
