Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast47% or more? 91.1%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+41.1 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 12, 26, 8:31 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolves yes for every correct answer, for the Democrats vote percent of the popular vote in all 2026 us house elections.
- Resolves according to the number posted on the Wikipedia, which comes from the office of the clerk of the House of Representatives.
- For example, in 2026 democrats got 47.2% of the popular vote percentage.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-5.0pt72%
- Yes+5.0pt28%
- Total Vol
- $16.6M
- 24h Vol
- $875.5K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate+2.0pt48.1%
- D-House, R-Senate34.6%
- R-House, R-Senate-1.0pt15.4%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+19.0pt63%
- Before Oct 1, 2027+14.0pt54%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+16.0pt52%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt12%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $217.2M
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.1pt52%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva46.1%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.5pt36.1%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt27.8%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Democratic Popular vote percent in the 2026 house elections??
- Manifold Markets prices 47% or more? at 91% as of September 14, 2026.
- When does Democratic Popular vote percent in the 2026 house elections? resolve?
- Democratic Popular vote percent in the 2026 house elections? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Democratic Popular vote percent in the 2026 house elections? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves yes for every correct answer, for the Democrats vote percent of the popular vote in all 2026 us house elections.