Democrat+Independent Senate Seats after 2026 Midterms?
PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics2026 US MidtermsElection11h
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast47 seats or more 100%Leader of 14 outcomes
Forecasters
22
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+47.9 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Nov 3, 26, 1:20 AM UTCNov 5, 26, 1:59 AM UTC
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KalshiHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
KalshiRules
how many seats will Democrats + Independents have after 2026 Midterms?
- This will resolve based on Associated Press projections, and all independents are included even if they will not caucus with Democrats.
- This includes Seth Bodnar in Montana, Dan Osborn in Nebraska and others.
- Resolves based on election results ONLY, and deaths, party switchers and anything else will not change the result.
