Congressional Survivor: Who will be the final member in Congress?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez, AOC (D: NY-14) 38.4%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
22
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleMar 14, 24, 2:00 AM UTCJan 1, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Which of these (relatively) young and healthy members will be in Congress last (not longest)! Once someone loses reelection, or resigns from Congress, they are officially eliminated (effective at the end of their term or resignation date).
- If someone dies, they are immediately eliminated.
- Whoever is the last one standing will be the winner.
- People can switch Congressional districts, or chambers of Congress, but they must hold roles in consecutive terms to not be eliminated.
- If someone leaves Congress and later returns, they are still eliminated.
- Market will extend as needed.
