Conditional on Trump being elected in 2024, will the Supreme Court allow him to seek a third term in 2028?
US PoliticsOne-Off2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 92%
Forecasters
27
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleJul 4, 24, 4:35 AM UTCNov 8, 28, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Joshua Zeitz argues that “the odds aren’t zero.” https://x.com/joshuamzeitz/status/1808130997436797139?s=46&t=KXHuklQ7fpBGC3MqBbD7ug
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Conditional on Trump being elected in 2024, will the Supreme Court allow him to seek a third term in 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 92% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Conditional on Trump being elected in 2024, will the Supreme Court allow him to seek a third term in 2028? resolve?
- Conditional on Trump being elected in 2024, will the Supreme Court allow him to seek a third term in 2028? is scheduled to resolve on November 8, 2028.
- How is Conditional on Trump being elected in 2024, will the Supreme Court allow him to seek a third term in 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Joshua Zeitz argues that “the odds aren’t zero.” https://x.com/joshuamzeitz/status/1808130997436797139?s=46&t=KXHuklQ7fpBGC3MqBbD7ug