Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 92.9%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 20 hours ago
StaleNov 25, 22, 2:05 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that a civilian nuclear energy accident takes place in the US before 2030 which is judged to be responsible for at least one death within one year.
- Close date updated to 2029-12-30 11:59 pm
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Civilian nuclear accident in the US before 2030?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 93% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Civilian nuclear accident in the US before 2030 resolve?
- Civilian nuclear accident in the US before 2030 is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2029.
- How is Civilian nuclear accident in the US before 2030 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that a civilian nuclear energy accident takes place in the US before 2030 which is judged to be responsible for at least one death within one year.