Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Governor of São Paulo (SP)?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionLatin America3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastTarcísio de Freitas 96.4%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
13
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleJan 5, 26, 2:07 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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FutuurRules
This market resolves to the candidate who is officially declared elected Governor of São Paulo (SP) in Brazil’s 2026 election (including any runoff).
- Primary resolution source: official results from Brazil’s Electoral Justice (TSE).
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Governor of São Paulo (SP)??
- Manifold Markets prices Tarcísio de Freitas at 96.4% as of September 22, 2026.
- When does Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Governor of São Paulo (SP)? resolve?
- Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Governor of São Paulo (SP)? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Governor of São Paulo (SP)? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves to the candidate who is officially declared elected Governor of São Paulo (SP) in Brazil’s 2026 election (including any runoff).