Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Governor of São Paulo (SP)?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionLatin America5moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 22, 2026, 5:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastTarcísio de Freitas 78%-8.8%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 days ago
StaleJan 5, 26, 2:07 AMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Tarcísio de Freitas78%
Volume trend
$80Jul 212d of dataJul 22
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This market resolves to the candidate who is officially declared elected Governor of São Paulo (SP) in Brazil’s 2026 election (including any runoff).
- Primary resolution source: official results from Brazil’s Electoral Justice (TSE).