Current community forecast
Guilherme Derrite 58%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
7
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingFeb 17, 26, 3:54 AM UTCOct 4, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
n Brazil’s 2026 general election (Oct 4, 2026), the state of São Paulo (SP) will elect two Senators.
- This is a MULTI market: it resolves YES for each candidate who is officially elected Senator (titular) for SP (2 winners), and NO for all others.
- Resolution is based on the official TSE final results for “Senador — SP.”
- Edge cases: if a listed candidate does not run or is not elected, they resolve NO; if results change due to court rulings, use the final TSE published outcome.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Senator in São Paulo (SP)? (2 seats)?
- Manifold Markets prices Guilherme Derrite at 58% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Senator in São Paulo (SP)? (2 seats) resolve?
- Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Senator in São Paulo (SP)? (2 seats) is scheduled to resolve on October 4, 2026.
- How is Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Senator in São Paulo (SP)? (2 seats) settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: n Brazil’s 2026 general election (Oct 4, 2026), the state of São Paulo (SP) will elect two Senators.