What are the current odds for A child of Elon Musk will hold high political office through 2050?

Manifold Markets prices No at 71.7% as of October 30, 2026.

A child of Elon Musk will hold high political office through 2050

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

No 71.7%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 4 hours ago

Stale

Sep 11, 23, 3:04 PM UTCJan 2, 51, 6:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

High will be evaluated for any country based on this is scale, regardless of country size or new/oldness.

For other countries or future political systems, we will attempt to map their system into this, comparing based on size of polity (as a percentage of the nation), power, esteem, etc
State governor
Major city mayor
Supreme court justice
Above here is high, below here doesn't qualify