Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastKamala Harris 74.3%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
13
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleDec 20, 25, 3:36 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve YES to the candidate leading on December 31st, 2026 in Race To The WH's average of reputable national polls for the 2028 Democratic presidential primary.
- If this source is no longer maintained, I will fall back to Silver Bulletin (if available yet) or RealClearPolitics, in that order of preference.
- Feel free to add additional answers if you disagree with the default four options presented!