Current community forecast
Yes 77.8%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Sep 14, 26, 5:15 PM UTCOct 23, 26, 5:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if the electoral list backed by the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) wins strictly more seats than every other individual electoral list in Serbia’s 2026 parliamentary election.
- For resolution purposes, the “SNS-led list” means the officially certified electoral list that includes or is formally backed by the Serbian Progressive Party, regardless of its exact ballot or campaign name.
- The market resolves NO if any other individual electoral list wins more seats than the SNS-led list.
- If the SNS-led list ties another list for the largest number of seats, the market resolves NO, since SNS must hold the largest seat total outright.
- Resolution will be based on the final official seat allocation published by Serbia’s Republic Electoral Commission (RIK).
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for 🇷🇸 Will the SNS-led list win the most seats in Serbia’s 2026 parliamentary election??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 78% as of September 15, 2026.
- When does 🇷🇸 Will the SNS-led list win the most seats in Serbia’s 2026 parliamentary election? resolve?
- 🇷🇸 Will the SNS-led list win the most seats in Serbia’s 2026 parliamentary election? is scheduled to resolve on October 23, 2026.
- How is 🇷🇸 Will the SNS-led list win the most seats in Serbia’s 2026 parliamentary election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution Criteria