Senior Officer+ leads Ukrainian party to 15+ member faction in next parliamentary election.
PoliticsOne-OffElectionGeopoliticsRussia / Ukraine28d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 72.9%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleMay 25, 25, 1:02 PM UTCNov 25, 26, 1:47 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
In Ukraine parties need 15 elected members in parliament to be recognized as an official faction.
- Resolves yes if one of those factions after the next election has held above Senior Officer rank in the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
- It is unclear when the next parliamentary election will be held.
- But the election process should start one month after cancellation of martial law.
- The market will be extended and open for live trading until parliamentary groups are officially sworn in post election.
- I won't trade but for every one mana liquidity you add, I may match with 9, up to 300 altogether.
