KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: At least 20% (99%)
Resolved: Aug 14, 2026, 2:29 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 14, 2026, 1:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
At least 20% 99%+14.0ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$69.3K
Liquidity
$121.5K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 18 days ago
StaleJul 8, 26, 1:30 PMSep 1, 27, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
At least 20%85%
At least 25%99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
90%
3%
1%
1%
Rules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Count Binface Party in the 2026 Clacton by-election is 5% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Tendring District Council
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places.
- Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
- Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.
