KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: At least 20% (99%)
Resolved: Aug 14, 2026, 2:29 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 14, 2026, 1:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
At least 20%85%
At least 25%99%
At least 20%Won
At least 15%Lost
At least 25%Lost
At least 5%Lost
At least 10%Lost
At least 35%Lost
At least 40%Lost
At least 30%Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Count Binface Party in the 2026 Clacton by-election is 5% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Tendring District Council
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places.
- Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
- Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.