Minnesota Senate election: Michele Tafoya vote percent
4.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms2mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
At least 40% · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
At least 46% 45.5%Market line of 8 lines
At least 46% 45.5%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$17.6
Open interest
$2K
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
At least 40%Spread
—
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 11, 26, 2:00 PM UTCJan 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · At least 40%
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Alabama Governor election: Doug Jones vote percent
KalshiTennessee Governor election: Marsha Blackburn vote percent
KalshiNJ-04 House election: Chris Smith vote percent
KalshiOhio Governor election: Vivek Ramaswamy vote percent
KalshiMichigan Senate election: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
KalshiFlorida Governor election: David Jolly vote percent
KalshiRules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michele Tafoya in the 2026 Minnesota Senate election is 46% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Michele Tafoya ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Rules for each outcome
- At least 40%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michele Tafoya in the 2026 Minnesota Senate election is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 42%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michele Tafoya in the 2026 Minnesota Senate election is 42% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 44%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michele Tafoya in the 2026 Minnesota Senate election is 44% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 46%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michele Tafoya in the 2026 Minnesota Senate election is 46% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 48%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michele Tafoya in the 2026 Minnesota Senate election is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 50%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michele Tafoya in the 2026 Minnesota Senate election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 38%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michele Tafoya in the 2026 Minnesota Senate election is 38% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 52%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michele Tafoya in the 2026 Minnesota Senate election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
