KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
At least 52% · —
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Stored price
At least 58% 46%Market line of 9 lines
At least 58% 46%Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$20
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
At least 52%Spread
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Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Sep 11, 26, 2:00 PM UTCJan 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · At least 52%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
TX-23 House election: Brandon Herrera vote percent
KalshiTexas Senate election: James Talarico vote percent
KalshiFlorida Senate election: Ashley Moody vote percent
KalshiNebraska Senate election: Pete Ricketts vote percent
KalshiAlabama Governor election: Doug Jones vote percent
KalshiTexas Senate election: Ken Paxton vote percent
KalshiRules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Pat Ryan in the 2026 NY-18 House election is 58% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:State Board of Elections, Albany, NY
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Pat Ryan ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. Votes for Pat Ryan across all certified ballot lines are combined.
Rules for each outcome
- At least 52%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Pat Ryan in the 2026 NY-18 House election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 54%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Pat Ryan in the 2026 NY-18 House election is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 56%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Pat Ryan in the 2026 NY-18 House election is 56% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 58%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Pat Ryan in the 2026 NY-18 House election is 58% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 60%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Pat Ryan in the 2026 NY-18 House election is 60% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 62%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Pat Ryan in the 2026 NY-18 House election is 62% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 64%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Pat Ryan in the 2026 NY-18 House election is 64% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 66%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Pat Ryan in the 2026 NY-18 House election is 66% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 68%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Pat Ryan in the 2026 NY-18 House election is 68% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
