Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?
AIOne-OffPoliticsUS Politics1y
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before 2030 · —
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Stored price
Before 2030 35%Leader of 3 outcomes
Before 2030 35%Market quality
39 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$4.5K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Before 2030Spread
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Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Oct 12, 26, 6:00 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before 2030
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If the U.S. government has taken operational control of any private AI company or project before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the White Housethe United States Congressthe Federal Registerthe Securities and Exchange Commissionthe Federal Reservethe Department of the Treasurythe Department of Justicerelevant federal courtsThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
Rules for each outcome
- Before 2030
- If the U.S. government has taken operational control of any private AI company or project before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2029
- If the U.S. government has taken operational control of any private AI company or project before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2028
- If the U.S. government has taken operational control of any private AI company or project before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
