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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will "A frontier AI company should shut down" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Will AI fully automate Cochrane-style systematic reviews by end of 2027?
Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2028?
Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^27 FLOP in China before 2028?
Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Rules
Full question: By December 31, 2027, will any 'frontier AI company' (defined as OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google DeepMind) publicly state in an official blog post or report that they have used an AI agent to autonomously initiate and manage a training run costing more than $1 million without human-in-the-loop approval for individual step execution?
Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:
https://api.coinrithm.com/api/prediction-markets/events/manifold/any-frontier-ai-company-states-ai-fAI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:
https://mcp.coinrithm.com/mcp+9 more outcomes
+15 more outcomes
+7 more outcomes
+7 more outcomes
+5 more outcomes
+11 more outcomes