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Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 10:51 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Chamath Palihapitiya · —
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Stored price
Chamath Palihapitiya 5.5%
Chamath Palihapitiya 5.5%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$4.9K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Chamath PalihapitiyaSpread
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Market data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Feb 18, 25, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Chamath Palihapitiya
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If the U.S. sovereign wealth fund has been created and employs, engages as an individual contractor, is led by, or is managed by Chamath Palihapitiya before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:White HouseOffice of the PresidencyDepartment of the TreasuryThe New York TimesAPBloombergReutersAxiosSemaforCNNNBCABCMSNBCThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalFox NewsPoliticoThe InformationCBS
Rules for each outcome
- Chamath Palihapitiya
- If the U.S. sovereign wealth fund has been created and employs, engages as an individual contractor, is led by, or is managed by Chamath Palihapitiya before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Bill Ackman
- If the U.S. sovereign wealth fund has been created and employs, engages as an individual contractor, is led by, or is managed by Bill Ackman before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.