KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 88%
Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$200
Low liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 13.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Aug 3, 26, 11:39 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
If Laura Loomer joins the Presidential Administration before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the White House
- For the purposes of this Contract, Laura Loomer "joins" the Presidential Administration if ANY of the following occurs after Issuance and is publicly announced before Jan 1, 2027:
- The President formally submits Laura Loomer's nomination to the U.S. Senate for any position requiring Senate confirmation (PAS position); Laura Loomer is confirmed by the U.S. Senate to any position; Laura Loomer receives a direct presidential appointment to any position that does not require Senate confirmation (including but not limited to White House staff positions, senior advisors, counselors, assistants to the President, or any position within the Executive Office of the President); Laura Loomer receives a recess appointment to any position; Laura Loomer is designated to serve in an acting capacity in any position under the Federal Vacancies Reform Act or any other authority; Laura Loomer is designated as a Special Government Employee (SGE) in any capacity within the Executive Branch; Laura Loomer is publicly announced by the White House or President as leading, co-leading, or serving in a formally designated leadership role within any presidential task force, commission, council, advisory body, or initiative established by executive order or presidential directive (including but not limited to entities similar to the Department of Government Efficiency); or Laura Loomer begins serving in any paid or unpaid official government position within the Executive Branch, as publicly announced by the White House.
- The following do NOT constitute "joining" the Presidential Administration for purposes of this Contract:
- An announcement of the President's "intent to nominate" Laura Loomer that has not yet resulted in formal submission of the nomination to the U.S. Senate; Membership on a presidential transition team prior to the President taking office; Informal advisory roles that are not publicly announced by the White House or established by executive order; Serving as a campaign surrogate, volunteer, or donor; Rumors, speculation, or unofficial reports of potential appointment that are not confirmed by a Source Agency; A nomination that is withdrawn before formal submission to the U.S. Senate; Appointment to positions outside the Executive Branch (e.g., judicial nominations, legislative branch positions); or Appointment solely to external advisory boards of independent agencies that operate outside the Executive Office of the President, unless such appointment is publicly announced as part of the President's administration.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Laura Loomer join the Trump administration in 2026??
- Kalshi prices No at 88% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Laura Loomer join the Trump administration in 2026? resolve?
- Will Laura Loomer join the Trump administration in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Laura Loomer join the Trump administration in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Laura Loomer joins the Presidential Administration before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.