KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
California 99%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
54 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5.2
Liquidity
$35.4K
High liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Dec 2, 25, 8:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?
KalshiHow many states will Trump claim the midterms were rigged in?
Manifold MarketsHow many states will Trump visit in Sep 2026?
KalshiWill Trump visit Greenland by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump visit North Korea by which date?
PolymarketWill Donald Trump visit Iran?
KalshiRules
If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of California after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Guardianlocal news outlets with verifiable mastheads in the stateofficial social media accounts of Donald Trump or their official representativesofficial government sources of the stateofficial representatives or offices of Donald TrumpThe New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalCNNFox NewsMSNBCCNBC
- The following do NOT constitute a visit:
- Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the person remains in an airplane Virtual or remote appearances Presence in international waters adjacent to the area Presence solely within embassy or consulate grounds Plans, announcements, or scheduling of future visits that do not occur during the applicable time period
- For the avoidance of doubt, a visit occurs only when the person exits an aircraft, vehicle, vessel, or train within the area, or otherwise physically enters the area not aboard one.
- Remaining aboard, including during flyovers, drive-throughs, and non-exit refueling stops, does not constitute a visit.
- Exiting within the area constitutes a visit regardless of duration or method of exit.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
US PoliticsKALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
- $664.9K
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.6pt17%
- Gavin Newsom+0.3pt16%
+48 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+2.8pt100%
- September 25+6.5pt93%
- September 30+6.0pt84%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt53.5%
- No change+1.0pt44.5%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.8pt8.9%
- Total Vol
- $33.9M
- 24h Vol
- $480.6K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60.8%
- D-House, R-Senate-2.0pt28.9%
- Republicans sweep-0.7pt9.3%
+1 more outcomes
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Ohio Senate Election Winner
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which states will Trump visit in 2026??
- Kalshi prices California at 99% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Which states will Trump visit in 2026? resolve?
- Which states will Trump visit in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Which states will Trump visit in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of California after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Which states will Trump visit in 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.