KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Fake News (99%)
Resolved: Jul 25, 2026, 5:11 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Fake News
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 25, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Probability Timeline
Movie Star12%
Cheat / Cheater / Cheating37%
Epstein4%
AI / Artificial Intelligence25%
Clinton17%
Crypto / Bitcoin1%
Event does not qualify1%
Fake News99%
World Cup1%
Iran (3+ times)99%
Oil99%
Stock Market1%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability1%
Dumbocrat / Dumacrat99%
Barack Hussein Obama99%
Hoax1%
Radical Left1%
Communist / Communism1%
Hormuz1%
Sleepy Joe1%
Israel / Israeli99%
Venezuela1%
25099%
China99%
TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
Transgender1%
Newsom / Newscum99%
MAGA / Make America Great Again99%
Ballroom99%
Hottest99%
Kamala99%
Butler1%
Zohran / Mamdani1%
UFC99%
First Term1%
Comedy / Comedian99%
Supreme Court1%
Alien1%
Weave / Weaved / Weaving1%
Central Casting1%
Autopen1%
Russia1%
IQ / Genius99%
Biden99%
Democrat99%
Fake NewsWon
Iran (3+ times)Lost
OilLost
Dumbocrat / DumacratLost
Barack Hussein ObamaLost
Israel / IsraeliLost
250Lost
ChinaLost
TDS / Trump Derangement SyndromeLost
Newsom / NewscumLost
MAGA / Make America Great AgainLost
BallroomLost
HottestLost
KamalaLost
UFCLost
Comedy / ComedianLost
IQ / GeniusLost
BidenLost
DemocratLost
AI / Artificial IntelligenceLost
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If a qualifying event does not occur, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026 will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
- For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
