What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents' Dinner?
25.0 pts (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffAI
KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Fake News (99%)
Resolved: Jul 25, 2026, 5:11 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 25, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probability
Fake News 99%+13.0ptLeader of 45 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$3.8M
Liquidity
$3.2M
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 54 days ago
StaleJun 9, 26, 2:00 AM UTCAug 8, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Movie Star12%
Cheat / Cheater / Cheating37%
Epstein4%
AI / Artificial Intelligence25%
Clinton17%
Crypto / Bitcoin1%
Event does not qualify1%
Fake News99%
World Cup1%
Iran (3+ times)99%
Oil99%
Stock Market1%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability1%
Dumbocrat / Dumacrat99%
Barack Hussein Obama99%
Hoax1%
Radical Left1%
Communist / Communism1%
Hormuz1%
Sleepy Joe1%
Israel / Israeli99%
Venezuela1%
25099%
China99%
TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
Transgender1%
Newsom / Newscum99%
MAGA / Make America Great Again99%
Ballroom99%
Hottest99%
Kamala99%
Butler1%
Zohran / Mamdani1%
UFC99%
First Term1%
Comedy / Comedian99%
Supreme Court1%
Alien1%
Weave / Weaved / Weaving1%
Central Casting1%
Autopen1%
Russia1%
IQ / Genius99%
Biden99%
Democrat99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
1%
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Manifold MarketsRules
If a qualifying event does not occur, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026 will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
- For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.