KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Nov 13, 2026, 10:45 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
At least 5 · —
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Stored price
At least 9 50.5%Market line of 8 lines
At least 9 50.5%Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$0
Open interest unknownBid / Ask
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At least 5Spread
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Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Nov 12, 26, 5:15 PM UTCDec 2, 26, 2:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · At least 5
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Rules
If the number of days on which Donald Trump golfs is at least 9 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- How this is resolved Golf days from Nov 1 to Nov 30, 2026 count, including those before these markets opened. A day counts if Roll Call Factbase's presidential calendar feed (https://media-cdn.factba.se/rss/json/trump/calendar-full.json) shows its "golf" value as true. A day also counts if a White House pool report or a Getty Images, Reuters Connect or AP Photos image unambiguously shows Donald Trump playing golf that day. Markets may resolve as soon as the number of days that count reaches the strike. Otherwise they resolve at expiration, 10:00 AM ET two days after the month ends (Dec 2, 2026).
Rules for each outcome
- At least 5
- If the number of days on which Donald Trump golfs is at least 5 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 6
- If the number of days on which Donald Trump golfs is at least 6 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 7
- If the number of days on which Donald Trump golfs is at least 7 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 8
- If the number of days on which Donald Trump golfs is at least 8 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 9
- If the number of days on which Donald Trump golfs is at least 9 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 10
- If the number of days on which Donald Trump golfs is at least 10 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 11
- If the number of days on which Donald Trump golfs is at least 11 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 12
- If the number of days on which Donald Trump golfs is at least 12 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
