KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Below 38.7% 33%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$58K
Liquidity
$51.8K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 23, 26, 2:01 PM UTCSep 24, 26, 4:59 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Rules
If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.7% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:RealClearPolitics
- The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.7% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.9% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.0% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 24, 2026??
- Kalshi prices Below 38.7% at 33% as of September 23, 2026.
- When does Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 24, 2026? resolve?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 24, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 24, 2026.
- How is Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 24, 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.7% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.